@@@@@ @ @ @@@@@ @ @ @@@@@@@ @ @ @@@@@ @@@@@ @@@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @@@@@ @@@@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @@@@@ @ @ @ @ @@@@@ @@@@@ @@@Mt. Holz Science Fiction Society
12/19/14 -- Vol. 33, No. 25, Whole Number 1837
Table of Contents
A Foolish Consistency (comments by Mark R. Leeper):
In "Doctor Who" they make very clear that we do not know the Doctor's name. He is refered to as "The Doctor". Fans are told not to call him "Doctor Who". So shouldn't the best-known title in the series be not DOCTOR WHO AND THE DALEKS but THE DOCTOR AND THE DALEKS? [-mrl]
Online Film Critics Society Annual Movie Awards:
(Last year, a special award was also given to the late Roger Ebert, the subject of LIFE ITSELF), "whose decades of work in criticism helped to popularize serious film appreciation to a wider audience, and whose tireless persistence in the face of cancer was as inspiring as any of the films he championed.")
Founded in 1997, the Online Film Critics Society
(
[Mark is a member of the OFCS.]
Philcon 2008 Con Report Available (comments by Evelyn C. Leeper):
As they say, "The perfect is the enemy of the good." I have gotten
several years behind in my Philcon reports and rather than give up
altogether, I have decided to transcribe my notes without turning
them into real sentences, paragraphs, etc. As a result, this
report got done in only a few hours, rather than the dozens of
hours it normally would take.
http://www.leepers.us/evelyn/conventions/phil08.htm
[-ecl]
False Safety in Numbers: The Poisoned Internet (comments by Mark R. Leeper):
The big news story in the world of computers is that some unknown
group calling themselves Guardians of Peace has hacked into Sony
Pictures computers, finding treasure troves of private data that
they are now making public in the most painful ways they can
arrange. People are listening and gossiping about the information
being released. This is a news story with something for everyone.
Already the case is about computer hacking, movie actors,
executives with enormous salaries, sexism, sex, and even
international intrigue originating from North Korea.
There have been hackings of major corporations in the past with
customer and employee data being stolen. The public reaction has
been to grumble but to recognize that with so many people's data
being stolen the odds are good that their own data is unlikely to
be used for criminal purpose. These days we live connected to the
Internet. We would have a hard time surviving if we had to abandon
the web. If it were to disappear over night our personal economies
and more generally our national economies would be in real trouble.
How would we cope if we had to suddenly adapt to life without the
Internet? What would we do?
At the same time we have this dependence the hacking incidents that
seem to be growing exponentially in their ferocity are telling me
that the Internet is made of matchsticks held together with Elmer's
glue. The new equivalent of solving the Rubik's Cube is breaking
into corporate databases. We are caught in a war between people
trying to break computer security and people trying to keep it
patched together. And in this war the hacker side has a lot more
panache and potentially much, much bigger rewards.
No doubt we have some very good people designing computer security
systems. You never hear about it when they are winning in the
conflict. For the people on the defensive it is a quiet war. The
corporations they work for do not want the world to know they have
been under hacker attack. When the hackers do win they are often
all too happy to let the world know about their victories. And
certainly their side gets more than its share of the best and the
brightest coming out of schools. And as a real advantage they get
the younger people with fresher ideas. They can innovate faster
than the security industry and they attack from unexpected
directions.
The defenders have to face this creative and unpredictable enemy.
The corporations probably recognize that computer security is a
priority. And just hiring people with technical savvy is not easy.
Not everybody who claims to be an expert on security really is.
For that matter not everybody who believes himself to be an expert
on security really is. One almost has to be an expert to simply
hire experts.
What has happened is that the Internet has become a huge
convenience. So many things can be done so expediently on the
Internet that we all have adapted to it. We have come to love how
easy it is for us to access information and to communicate with
others. Unfortunately, the Internet has become a place where the
information that is so easily obtainable includes information about
ourselves, much of which we should be keeping private. That
includes our financial information and the contents of our
communications. Right now many of us are at the stage when we are
telling ourselves if we just manage our passwords carefully we will
be safe. We have this attitude in spite of the fact that many of
the victims of hacking have done nothing wrong. Like climate
change, many of us can see the threat coming, but there is a
tremendous convenience in inertia, and there is little we could do
to change our trajectory.
Right now what is keeping us safe on the Internet is that we are
among millions of possible victims of crime, so at this point
nobody has gotten around victimizing most of us. There is a false
safety in numbers. How long will it be before any of us is hit hard
by some Internet debacle?
So how safe do YOU feel? [-mrl]
POKER NIGHT (film review by Mark R. Leeper):
CAPSULE: A rookie police detective has been kidnapped and is being
imprisoned by a masked serial killer. He thinks about the lessons
he learned during weekly poker games with local veteran detectives
who talked about their police experiences. Perhaps he can find a
clue to how to survive his ordeal. POKER NIGHT is a creative film
and not a little tricky. Writer/director Greg Francis honed his
skills on television and now that he is breaking out into feature
films he proves to have a deft touch. Rating: +2 (-4 to +4) or
7/10
Poker night. That is the night that the Warsaw, Indiana, police
detectives get together to play poker, drink beer, and talk about
their previous cases and some of the lessons they learned along the
way. Jeter (Beau Mirchoff) is the newbie. He mostly just listens
trying to cull wisdom from the experience of veteran detectives.
But we soon find Jeter is just thinking about his poker nights.
The information could be really useful to him just at the moment.
It seems a serial killer has kidnapped him. He will need all the
wisdom he can muster to survive the night. It seems a serial
killer in an ugly mask has Jeter imprisoned in the killer's
basement. Oh, and his (too) young girlfriend Amy (Halston Sage) is
also being held by the killer. Right now the lessons that his
fellow detectives shared with him could come in really handy if he
is going to escape from the killer alive.
As Jeter relives his past poker games he thinks about his friends
around the table. There is the smooth-talking Bernard (Giancarlo
Esposito), the cynical Cunningham (Ron Eldard), Maxwell (Titus
Welliver), and Jeter's mentor, Calabrese (the versatile Ron
Perlman). The poker games have been his education in practical
police detective work. While Jeter desperately searches his
options, the killer is telling him about his background and why he
became a killer. Jeter pictures the scenes that the killer's past
only since Jeter knows the killer only as the masked man, he
pictures the killer going through life with that ugly reptilian
mask on his face.
POKER NIGHT is a nice little horror thriller in much the same vein
and some of the power of films such as THE SILENCE OF THE LAMBS and
SE7EN. The villain is a psychotic killer nearly memorable enough
to rank with the killers in those films. Writer/director Greg
Francis has had extensive work writing and directing for
television, but his first feature film is an auspicious start with
a film that requires concentration. The viewer is jerked back and
forward in time and Francis wastes little screen time explaining
what is going on and why. Francis goes from comedy to horror to
suspense. The visual story telling is tricky and the writing is
even more so. This is one of those films fans may want to see
multiple times to get the story straight. Occasionally it may even
require a little eyestrain.
The viewer should be warned that some painful looking scenes.
Jeter's experience is as imaginative as it is unpleasant. I rate
POKER NIGHT a +2 on the -4 to +4 scale or 7/10.
Film Credits:
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2548208/combined
What others are saying:
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/poker_night/
[-mrl]
For the last two years, Mark has been running a film series at our
local library. The library calls it "Critics' Choice" but it is
really just films that Mark thinks have been sadly overlooked,
either in general or by current audiences. Unfortunately, many he
would like to show are not licensed for library showings, but we
thought the list of what he has shown would be useful to people
looking for recommendations besides the latest major blockbuster or
Oscar hopeful:
THE BRIDE OF FRANKENSTEIN (comments by Peter Rubinstein):
In response to Evelyn's comments on LA NOVIA DE FRANKENSTEIN in the
12/12/14 issue of the MT VOID, Peter Rubinstein writes:
Is the spelling "Theisiger" intentional? I thought it was
Thesiger. [-pr]
Evelyn responds:
Ooops! [-ecl]
Mark adds:
Gee. I wonder why my spell checker didn't catch it. [-mrl]
Dieting (letter of comment by Gregory Benford):
In response to Walter Meissier's comments on dieting in the
12/12/14 issue of the MT VOID, Gregory Benford writes:
Good remarks from Walter Messier. The wiki link on calorie
restriction is out of date; doesn't mention the chimp studies,
which show no longevity benefit. So the sentence "Studies have
been conducted to examine the effects of CR with adequate intake of
nutrients in humans; however, long-term effects are unknown." is
incomplete.
Worth noting that NONE of those living beyond 110 are on calorie
restriction, to my knowledge. The oldest known person, Mme.
Calment, smoked and drank red wine and never neglected her food.
The telemeres argument is good but so far not related to actual
human longevity studies, to my knowledge. [-gb]
Spacecraft News (letter of comment by Gregory Frederick):
Besides the recent successful launch of the Orion space craft on a
Delta 4 rocket and the Rosetta-launched Philae probe landing on a
comet, there are a number of other interesting things happening in
the near future related to spacecraft. Space X plans to launch
another Dragon spacecraft to supply the International Space Station
next week and then land the primary booster rocket on a floating
platform in the ocean. They have been able to get their primary
booster to come down vertically in a controlled return flight
during the past few launches but they splashed into the ocean
because there was no place for them to land. Returning rockets and
re-using them will significantly reduce the cost of rocket
launches. In March 2015, the NASA spacecraft Dawn (with an ion
drive) will arrive at Ceres (the largest asteroid in the asteroid
belt). Also around May 2015 NASA's spacecraft, New Horizons, will
arrive at Pluto and its five moons. There could be more moons then
that but so far there are five known. No one has ever seen the
surface of Pluto in any real detail so this will be very
interesting. [-gf]
This Week's Reading (book comments by Evelyn C. Leeper):
The discussion group's "book" this month was the remaining thirteen
articles in THE BEST AMERICAN SCIENCE AND NATURE WRITING 2012,
edited by Dan Ariely (ISBN 978-0-547-79953-7). For each article,
I'll give a one-sentence summary, then make some comments.
"The Touchy-Feely (but Totally Scientific!) Methods of Wallace J.
Nichols ("Outside") by Michael Roberts: Nichols wants to figure
out what is going on in our brains when we look at the ocean.
The idea that appealing to our emotions has more effect than
appealing to our reason has been pretty clearly demonstrated, so it
is not obvious why finding out exactly why oceans appeal to us
would improve our techniques to make people act more responsibly
towards the environment. (Although, as they note, if it turns out
that polluted, dead oceans would have the same effect, the whole
plan could backfire.)
"The Feedback Loop" (original title "Harnessing the Power of
Feedback Loops") by Thomas Goetz ("Wire"): Feedback loops can be
used to improve behavior, but only if properly implemented.
"The ideal feedback loop gives us an emotional connection to a
rational goal." --Sounds like the last article.
Feedback loops have four stages: evidence, relevance, consequence,
action. That is, measure the behavior, convey the information to
the user in a relevant way, make the user aware of their options,
and have some way for the user to make a choice. The example Goetz
gives that seems to be very successful are the spread of
speed-sensing radar signs ("Your speed is ..."), although Goetz
attributes the drop in average vehicle speed entirely to the
feedback loop and assumes the drivers know there is no policeman
standing by to give them a ticket. Frankly, when I see these, I
assume there *is* a higher probability that there will be a
policeman, since the sign is clearly gathering information which
could be used in court.
Up until now the main problems have been the cost of collecting
data, and the delivery of data back to the user (rather than some
central repository).
"What You Don't Know Can Kill You" by Jason Daley ("Discover"): We
have a hard time evaluating risks.
The fact that people obsess more over shark attacks (1 US death per
year) than cattle attacks (20 US deaths per year) or even drownings
(3400 US deaths per year) was not just recently discovered. Even
the reason behind this--we are still instinctively reacting as our
prehistoric ancestors were evolved to do--is not news. However,
Daley has a few new additions. We have an "optimism" bias, and
more of a fear of man-made risks or those causing dread
(painful/gruesome deaths) than of natural or "peaceful" ones.
These in turn are fed by what the media covers and how it covers
it. A single shark attack gets far more coverage than the 3400
drownings.
And over-reaction can be deadly. WHO estimates that 4000 residents
and recovery workers for Chernobyl will develop a fatal cancer as a
result of that accident. However, it has already resulted in 1250
suicides and between 100,000 and 200,000 elective abortions. (The
last figure is for all of Europe, but I am still not sure I trust
it.)
"Beautiful Brains" (original title "Teenage Brains") by David Dobbs
("National Geographic"): It had been thought that teenagers do
reckless things because their brains were still developing, and in
fact undergoing major changes during those years; Dobbs says it is
more that they are adapting.
The claim had been that between ten and twenty, young brains were
modifying both their physical and logical structures and this is
why they seemed to do things that made parents ask, "What were they
thinking?" The changing patterns also explained why the same
person could make mature decisions on Monday, and completely
reckless ones on Tuesday.
Dobbs claims that these traits, rather than being negative, are
"highly functional, even adaptive," and that this is the correct
response to the changing environment teens are undergoing.
However, when one considers this in terms of the previous article's
premise (our reactions are the result of evolution for prehistoric
conditions), one gets a different picture. One major result of
these "reckless" decisions, for example, are a lot of pregnancies
(and offspring) that with more rational thought might have been
avoided. So whoever is the most reckless sexually has the best
chance of producing the most offspring. Similarly, reckless
driving might derive from reckless hunting--inept hunters get
killed off faster, while good hunters survive (with food) to
reproduce. All this is highly beneficial from an evolutionary
standpoint, but not exactly the behaviors we want our teenagers to
have.
Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle called it "evolution in action."
That was not intended as a compliment.
"The Brain on Trial" by David Eagleman ("The Atlantic"): Yet
another tale of the amygdala (see Daley above) and how physical and
chemical changes in the brain can affect what we think of as
behaviors entered into by free choice.
This reminds me of "Reasons to Be Cheerful" and "Oceanic" by Greg
Egan, in which he examines what it means to talk about free will
when it is known that chemicals can affect one's moods or even
one's religious beliefs.
Eagleman looks at this from a judicial point of view. If people
are forced into certain behaviors because of their neurological
make-up, what does this mean in terms of criminal sentencing? We
now recognize that people may have all sorts of involuntary
physical movements, vocalizations, and so on due to the state of
their brain, and Eagleman thinks it is only a matter of time before
more and more behaviors can be traced to specific conditions of the
brain. While Eagleman does not advocate eliminating punishment
altogether, he thinks it is important to use the most efficacious
treatment. He seems to prefer the "prefrontal workout," which he
admits is just the biofeedback of the 1970s, but far more
sophisticated and scientifically based than it was then.
"Crush Point" by John Seabrook ("The New Yorker"): The science of
how to prevent crowd disasters is more complicated than people
thought.
For a long time, people believed that crowd disasters were caused
by people fleeing a fire or otherwise trying to leave an area. Now
scientists who have studied the phenomenon (notably Paul
Wertheimer, who personally observed thousands of concert mosh pits
from the inside!) have determined that these can be caused by
crowds attempting to enter a space, or even by crowds simply within
a space. (Crowds leaving a space and crowds entering a space are
in some sense identical--both are attempting to pass from one space
to another through a bottleneck. But crowds entering a space, even
when attempting to get "Black Friday" bargains, are not driven by
the same instincts that crowds fleeing a fire are.)
The opening of the article is an account of the 2008 "Black Friday"
death of a security guard at a Wal-Mart on Long Island.
Unfortunately, the article was written before the OSHA suit against
Wal-Mart was decided.
"Ill Wind" (original title "Made in China: Our Toxic, Imported Air
Pollution") by David Kirby ("Discover"): Air pollution in the
United States is increasing because of China pollutants.
"All of the world's atmosphere is interconnected." Even if this is
obvious, the idea that pollutants such as mercury and even dust
could be carried to all parts of the globe came as a shock to a lot
of people. Currently the increasing pollution from China is such
that we have to decrease our emissions quite a bit just to stay at
the same level, or as the Red Queen said, "Now, here, you see, it
takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. If
you want to get somewhere you must run at least twice as fast as
that."
"The City Solution" by Robert Kunzig ("National Geographic"):
Cities are good; urban sprawl is bad.
Although the wretched conditions in parts of London (and New York)
in the late 19th century led planners to attempt to empty out the
cities, or at least to stem their growth, it is now recognized that
the response is to fix what is broken in the city. Moving people
out is environmentally unsound, both from the point of view of
requiring people in the distant, sparsely populated areas to rely
on cars, and in requiring more resources to supply electricity,
gas, water, food, and everything else to a much more distributed
population. Seoul is a good example of how planners can make
cities work--even if the apartment buildings are ugly blocks from
the outside, they are comfortable and affordable inside, and the
city provides a stimulating, thriving emotional and intellectual
environment.
"Test-Tube Burgers" by Michael Specter ("The New Yorker"): We have
not achieved vat-grown meat on a consumer level yet, but that is
probably just a matter of time.
Specter references William Gibson's NEUROMANCER and Margaret
Atwood's ORYX AND CRAKE, but fails to note that Frederik Pohl and
C. M. Kornbluth's THE SPACE MERCHANTS had vat-grown meat 32 years
before either of them (in 1952). Yes, Gibson and Atwood are better
known to his readers, but it still seems like stealing the credit
from where it is due.
Environmentally, livestock produces 20% of greenhouse emissions,
and uses 10% of all fresh water supplies and 80% of all farmland.
Of course, the flip side is that if we switch to vat-grown meat,
why would there even be cattle, or sheep, or pigs, or chickens?
And some organic farmers say that livestock provides an important
part of the ecosystem, although they are very specific about how it
should be raised and treated. (And needless to say, they think
there should be a lot less livestock, because it is only factory
farming methods that allow us to raise as much as we do.)
Most methods of creating vat-grown meat also involve using some
animal cells as a "starter", so vegans (and some vegetarians) would
still have concerns. And vat-grown pork started from pig cells is
not going to be declared either kosher or halal in the foreseeable
future. (Scientists are experimenting with starting with algae.)
The techniques used are more suited to producing the equivalent of
ground meat than a steak with actual structure including blood
vessels, etc., but the vast majority of meat raised is used in a
ground-up form.
Specter talks a lot about making vat-grown meat resemble "real"
meat, in look, texture, taste, etc. But to my mind, this may be
just another example of the same mistake so many vegetarian
restaurants make. They take ingredients that are perfectly fine on
their own, and try to make them seem like something else. I would
rather have an honest bean or tofu dish, than something that tries
to make them into a burger that they claim tastes like a beef
burger.
As for converting current meat eaters to vat-grown meat eaters
(assuming the technique is improved to production level and the
price comes down), Ingrid Newkirk says that the only way would be
if at the beginning of those cooking shows everyone loves, they
brought a baby lamb out, killed it, beheaded it, and cut it up to
make the lamb roast or whatever. Synchronistically, I earlier
today listened to the commentary track of CHEF, a film about
cooking in which at the beginning, a whole pig is slung up on the
kitchen counter and cut up into ingredients, including bacon that
we later see being cooked. (At least the pig was already dead.)
Roy Choi talked about how this was the scene that would separate
the true foodies from people who wanted a sanitized Hollywood
studio film, and that people need to recognize that the delicious
bacon they see sizzling later in the film started as this.
"Mad Science" (original title "Microsoft's Former CTO Takes on
Modernist Cuisine") by Mark McClusky ("Wired"): Nathan Myhrvold has
written what is McClusky calls the "Principia" of the kitchen--or
will it be its "Consolation of Philosophy"?
Myhrvold has written MODERNIST CUISINE--a six-volume, 2400-page,
$625 cookbook. It is more than just recipes--it goes into a lot of
the physics and chemistry of cooking. However, reviews elsewhere
note that the first printing is rife with errors--there is an
extensive errata sheet, though it apparently still misses some
howlers (such as that one cup of cornstarch weighs eight grams).
There is also a MODERNIST CUISINE AT HOME for the more reasonable
(though still expensive) price of $140. (By contrast, Harold
McGee's ON FOOD AND COOKING: THE SCIENCE AND LORE OF THE KITCHEN is
only $40.)
The food may be great, but even great French fries are not (in my
opinion) worth two hours of preparation time, a vacuum sealer, an
ultrasound machine, and a $2000 vacuum chamber. (Your mileage may
vary.)
Myhrvold (or his assistants) did all the food research as part of a
general "wild-ideas" lab where people get to try all sort of things
out, from lasers to zap malaria-carrying mosquitoes to using the
global cooling effect of sulphur dioxide in the atmosphere to
counteract the global warming effect of carbon dioxide.
"Dream Machine" by Rivka Galchen ("The New Yorker"): Quantum
computing is hard to understand.
As best as I can understand it, quantum computing makes use of
parallel universes to carry out calculations. This supposedly lets
you do factorizations (for example) 10^500 times faster (according
to an algorithm by Peter Shor). As David Deutsch notes, since
there are only 10^80 atoms in the whole universe, so the whole
universe "would not even remotely contain the resources required."
This requires qubits. According to Galchen, eight cubits are less
powerful as an abacus, but fifty to a hundred would be the
equivalent of a laptop.
Galchen writes, "Babbage suggested rewriting 'Every minute dies a
man / Every minute one is born' as 'Every minute dies a man / Every
minute one and a sixteenth is born,' further noting that ... the
exact figures are 1.167, but something must, of course, be conceded
to the laws of metre." Never mind metre; 1.167 is one and one
*sixth*, not one sixteenth! (According to one web page, this was a
typo in the original, and has since become what is quoted. That
Galchen fails to comment on it, however, is inexplicable.)
"The Crypto-Currency" by Joshua Davis ("The New Yorker"): Yet
another article about bitcoins.
"Mind vs. Machine" by Brian Christian ("The Atlantic"): Machines
are coming close to passing the Turing Test, but what does that
prove?
These days, definitions of human beings seem all to be of the form
"The human being is the only animal that _______." "Uses tools,"
"uses language," and "does mathematics" have filled in the blank in
the past, but then discovered to be wrong. ("Blushes, or needs to"
may still be the best answer.) Indeed, I have commented that
linguists seem to spend a lot of time defining and redefining
language in such a way as to allow that still to fill the blank.
But Christian asks, "Is it appropriate to allow our definition of
our own uniqueness to be, in some sense, reactive to the advancing
front of technology? And why, is it that we are so compelled to
feel unique in the first place?" In fact, given recent discoveries
about Neandertals, Denisovans, and Hobbits, it is not clear that
there is anything that makes us unique.
Christian feels this will not end: "The story of the 21st century
will be, in part, the story of the drawing and redrawing of these
battle lines, the story of Homo sapiens trying to stake a claim on
shifting ground, flanked by beast and machined, pinned between meat
and math." (If we ever find a way to upload consciousnesses, then
all bets are off.)
The Turing Test competitions show up what our conversations look
like when we have no real connection between the conversants.
Consisting of dodging questions, changing the subjects, and so on,
they lead Christian to suggest that "what shouldn't pass for real
conversation [under the rules] at the Turing Test shouldn't be
allowed to pass for real conversation in everyday life either."
[-ecl]
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Mark Leeper
mleeper@optonline.net
Quote of the Week:
I don't mind what language an opera is sung in
so long as it is a language I don't understand.
--Sir Edward Appleton
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